TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 6:06 PM EST
Kalshi
Two Brazilian soccer teams, Maringa and Botafogo, compete in a crucial Serie C match. The outcome depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The market resolves based on the result of the Maringa vs Botafogo professional Brasileiro Serie C soccer game scheduled for September 19, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Maringa wins, the 'Maringa' market resolves to Yes; if Botafogo wins, the 'Botafogo' market resolves to Yes; if the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours away from the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price according to the rules. The markets are independent of any league affiliations, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on a variety of factors, including expert analysis and public betting patterns, and they incorporate a profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders, who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. As a result, the odds here may reflect a more nuanced understanding of the potential results, or diverge based on information not yet fully priced into sportsbook lines. It's a valuable comparison point for anyone looking to gain an edge.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and the implied probability of that outcome rises. Conversely, selling contracts lowers the price and the implied probability. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Maringa vs Botafogo match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts accordingly, ensuring a transparent and reliable resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 19, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large influx of buy or sell orders – can quickly move the market. Keep an eye on sports news and analysis leading up to the match, as these developments are likely to be reflected in the evolving odds on Kalshi.