TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

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30,097

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Kalshi:

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Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic: Total Games
kalshi

Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic: Total Games

Volume:
$211,844

Over 48.5 games

 - Kalshi

Over 48.5 games - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 31, 2026

Closed: Aug 31, 12:10 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Over 48.5 games

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$59,614
N/A
N/A
$34,089
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 33.5 games

100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$42,463
N/A
N/A
$21,587
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 43.5 games

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$31,131
N/A
N/A
$16,710
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 38.5 games

100%
64%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$19,483
N/A
N/A
$8,618
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 28.5 games

100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,916
N/A
N/A
$10,883
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 53.5 games

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$40,238
N/A
N/A
$19,902
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether the total number of games in the Mariano Navone versus Novak Djokovic match at the 2026 US Open Men’s Singles Round of 128 will exceed 48.5 games. On Kalshi, the leading outcome, Over 48.5 games, currently holds a probability of 99.0%. The resolution is based on official match results from the 2026 US Open. The key catalyst to watch will be the match itself, scheduled to conclude by August 31, 2026, which will determine the final game count and market settlement.

Kalshi

The event centers on predicting whether the total number of completed games in the Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic match at the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round of 128 will exceed specified thresholds of 28.5, 33.5, or 38.5 games. Each threshold represents a separate market, all resolving based on the final, completed game count of the full match. If the match does not commence due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or other pre-start cancellations, all markets resolve to a fair price. Postponements or delays keep markets open until the rescheduled match concludes, with settlement occurring within two weeks of completion. In the event of a player retirement, markets that can be definitively settled based on games already played will do so, while any unresolved markets will settle at a Fair Market Price, determined solely by the Exchange. The Exchange explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume for the Navone vs Djokovic total games market. It shows how traders on this single venue are pricing the likelihood of more or fewer games being played in the match, with updates reflecting market sentiment and liquidity. The display includes current top-outcome chances and volume of $211,844 over the life of the market and $206,775 in the last 24 hours.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders directly set the odds through buying and selling contracts, which determines the current implied probability for each outcome. The top outcome shown reflects the aggregate sentiment of participants on that venue alone. Market depth and recent trading volumes influence price stability, and any shifts in trader confidence can quickly adjust these odds. This decentralized pricing model captures the specific outlook of Kalshi’s user base without input from external sources.

This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final game count will be compared against the defined over/under threshold to determine which side is correct. No internal platform mechanisms or external validations beyond publicly available data are involved in confirming the result.

Injuries, weather delays, or changes in player form leading up to the match could shift trader sentiment and move this market. Media reports, practice updates, or performance trends may cause participants to adjust their bets, impacting the odds. Additionally, any significant betting volume spikes on Kalshi—especially if they reflect new public information—can cause rapid price changes as traders react to emerging perceptions of likely game length.