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Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic: Set 1 Winner
kalshi

Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic: Set 1 Winner

Volume:
$616,912

Mariano Navone

 - Kalshi

Mariano Navone - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 31, 2026

Closed: Aug 30, 8:50 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Mariano Navone

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$237,552
N/A
N/A
$119,833
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Novak Djokovic

View
0%
73%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$379,360
N/A
N/A
$240,146
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Intro

This market tracks who will win the first set in the upcoming tennis match between Mariano Navone and Novak Djokovic at the 2026 US Open. On Kalshi, Novak Djokovic winning set 1 currently has a probability of 77.0%, while Mariano Navone winning set 1 is at 35.0%. The match resolution will follow official match results. Watch for the match start on 2026-08-30, which will determine the set 1 winner.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on which player wins the first set of the designated professional tennis match at the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 128. If the match fails to commence—due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or other cancellations before any play begins—the market settles at a fair price. Postponements or delays keep the market open and close only after the rescheduled match concludes, with a two-week window for final settlement. In cases of retirement during the match, any markets that can be definitively settled using completed play will do so, while unresolved markets are priced fairly at the Exchange’s discretion. The Exchange explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds, price movements, and 24-hour volume for the Set 1 winner market. It visualizes how traders on Kalshi are pricing the chances of each player claiming the opening set. You can see current momentum shifts, total volume of $616,912, and the latest 24-hour volume at $604,931 as bets are placed leading up to the match.

Prediction market odds on this market often reflect detailed trader sentiment and can diverge from traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks may set their odds based on broader analytics and public betting patterns, prediction markets allow participants to bet directly on their own assessments of who will win Set 1. This can lead to tighter pricing or sharper shifts as new information emerges, especially when insider insights or real-time updates influence trader behavior.

This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match result, specifically who wins the first set, and will be updated automatically once the match concludes and the data is publicly available.

Key signals that could shift this market include practice session reports, player injuries or withdrawals, weather conditions affecting the match, and any recent performance trends or ranking changes. As these developments unfold, traders will react, potentially causing rapid changes in odds. Media commentary and pre-match betting trends may also influence sentiment and drive volume in either direction before the match begins.