TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Mardin 1969 Spor vs. Bodrum FK
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Mardin 1969 Spor vs. Bodrum FK?

Volume:
$26,137

Mardin

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 7, 2026

Closed: Sep 7, 3:03 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Mardin

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$14,459
N/A
N/A
$13,476
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Mardin 1969 Spor

100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,060
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,000
N/A
N/A
$4,463
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Mardin 1969 Spor vs. Bodrum FK)

0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Bodrum

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,442
N/A
N/A
$3,004
Settled
No
polymarket

Bodrum FK

0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,161
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group resolves to the outcome of a TFF 1. Lig soccer match between Mardin 1969 Spor and Bodrum FK scheduled for September 7, 2026. Markets exist for Mardin winning, Bodrum winning, or the game ending in a draw, all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs significantly between platforms, impacting win/loss market resolution.Hero tip: Be cautious of cancellation risk. Polymarket's markets will likely resolve negatively for win/loss outcomes if canceled, while Kalshi's will resolve positively for all outcomes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled, win/loss markets resolve to 'No', and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'. Resolution is based on the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • Kalshi: If the game is canceled, all markets (Mardin win, Bodrum win, Tie) resolve to 'Yes'. Resolution is based on the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Turkey 1. Lig game, scheduled for Monday, September 7, 2026 between Mardin 1969 Spor and Bodrum FK.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Mardin vs Bodrum professional TFF 1. Lig soccer match scheduled for September 7, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins in regular time, while a tied result after regular time resolves the 'Tie' market as 'Yes.' If the match is cancelled or postponed by more than 48 hours from its original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the platform's guidelines. The event exclusively considers results from regular time, with no account for post-match tiebreaker procedures.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders. This can lead to differences compared to traditional sportsbook odds, which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, while prediction markets aim to accurately forecast the probability of an event. While both attempt to assess the likelihood of a particular outcome in this market, the mechanisms and motivations behind the odds-setting process differ significantly. It's possible to find arbitrage opportunities by comparing odds across both types of platforms.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to a number of factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading limits, and fee structure, all of which can influence price discovery. Differences in liquidity – the amount of volume being traded – can also play a role, as lower liquidity can lead to greater price volatility. Furthermore, differing opinions and information available to traders on each platform can contribute to discrepancies in the perceived probability of outcomes for this market. These factors create independent price discovery processes, potentially resulting in varied odds.