TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 29, 10:04 AM EST
Kalshi
This market covers the exact set score outcome of the professional tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Martin Damm Jr at the 2026 Wimbledon Men's Singles Round of 128 on June 29. Bettors predict the precise final set count.
The market resolves based on the final set score of the Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Jr match at 2026 Wimbledon Men's Singles Round of 128. If the match does not occur before play begins due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation, the market resolves to fair price. If postponed or delayed, the market remains open until the rescheduled match concludes within two weeks. If a player retires, markets that can be unconditionally settled based on completed play resolve accordingly; those that cannot are settled at fair market price at the Exchange's discretion.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders risking real capital on their beliefs about the outcome. Traders in this market may incorporate specialized knowledge or contrarian views that sportsbooks have not yet priced in, leading to meaningful differences in the odds for the exact score between Trungelliti and Damm Jr.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each possible exact score outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective belief of active traders about its likelihood. As new information emerges or trading interest shifts, prices adjust in real time, allowing you to enter or exit positions at market rates that evolve throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Jun 29, 2026, once the Trungelliti vs Damm Jr match concludes and the final set score is confirmed. The outcome is verified against credible public sources covering professional tennis results. Whichever exact score option matches the official recorded result will be marked correct, and all positions will settle accordingly at that time.
Several factors may shift prices in this market before resolution. Recent form and head-to-head records between the two players can influence trader expectations about the likely score. Court surface, weather conditions on match day, and any injury reports or lineup changes will prompt repricing as traders update their forecasts. Media coverage, expert commentary, and betting action on related markets may also signal new information that causes the exact score odds to move materially.