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Marcio Barbosa vs. Ryan Kuse: Round of Victory
kalshi

Marcio Barbosa vs. Ryan Kuse: Round of Victory

Volume:
$130,378

Marcio Barbosa to win in Round 1

 - Kalshi

Marcio Barbosa to win in Round 1 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 22, 2026

Closed: Aug 22, 6:30 PM EST

kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Marcio Barbosa to win in Round 1

View
100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$84,501
N/A
N/A
$75,586
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Marcio Barbosa to win in Round 2

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$29,645
N/A
N/A
$29,122
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Kuse to win in Round 1

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,226
N/A
N/A
$3,846
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Kuse to win in Round 2

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,597
N/A
N/A
$3,358
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Kuse to win in Round 3

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,433
N/A
N/A
$3,345
Settled
No
kalshi

Marcio Barbosa to win in Round 3

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,848
N/A
N/A
$2,609
Settled
No
kalshi

Decision / Draw / No Contest

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,129
N/A
N/A
$1,900
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event tracks the specific round in which either Marcio Barbosa or Ryan Kuse secures a victory via knockout, technical knockout, submission, or disqualification during their scheduled UFC Fight Night bout. It also includes an outcome for decisions, draws, or no contests across the full fight duration.

Kalshi

The event determines whether Marcio Barbosa or Ryan Kuse achieves a victory by knockout (KO), technical knockout (TKO), submission, or disqualification (DQ) within a specified round of their UFC Fight Night match scheduled for August 22, 2026, or if the fight concludes via decision, draw, or no contest across all rounds. Each market corresponds to a specific round (Rounds 1, 2, or 3) for either fighter winning by the listed methods, with a separate market for decision/draw/no contest outcomes. A technical decision is explicitly treated as a decision for settlement purposes and does not count as a round-specific win. The markets resolve based on the official fight result as declared by UFC officials, with all outcomes subject to confirmation by the governing league. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the UFC or its governing bodies, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Barbosa vs. Kuse round market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $70,348. This single-venue view shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of each round outcome as the fight approaches. The interface updates continuously to reflect market activity and shifts in trader sentiment leading up to the event.

On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds adjust dynamically based on real-time trading activity and volume of $130,378. While sportsbooks set fixed odds based on analyst assessments, this market captures crowd-sourced forecasts, often showing different implied probabilities. Traders may see shifts compared to sportsbook favorites, especially as new information emerges. The 24-hour volume of $70,348 indicates current interest levels, which can cause divergence from sportsbook pricing.

This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official result will be compared against the declared round of victory to determine which market position was correct. Timing depends on when authoritative news sources and the sporting governing body announce the final result.

Key signals that could shift this market include pre-fight media interviews, training updates, or injury reports for either fighter. Changes in betting volumes, especially large trades, may also indicate new information entering the market. As the fight date approaches, any shift in public sentiment or expert analysis could cause rapid price adjustments on Kalshi.