TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 22, 6:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether a specific mixed martial arts bout scheduled for August 22, 2026, concludes within a certain number of rounds. The outcome depends on the fight's duration, reflecting how quickly the contest might be decided. It provides insight into expectations around the pace and competitiveness of the match.
The event evaluates two potential scenarios for the Marcio Barbosa vs. Ryan Kuse UFC Fight Night bout scheduled for August 22, 2026. The first rule resolves to 'Yes' if the fight ends before round 2, indicating a very quick conclusion such as a knockout or early stoppage. The second rule resolves to 'Yes' if the fight ends before round 3, encompassing outcomes that may include a technical knockout, submission, or referee stoppage within the first two rounds. Both rules share identical secondary disclaimers stating that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league and that all trademarks belong to their respective owners. The event effectively layers two overlapping conditions, with the first being a subset of the second, allowing participants to bet on varying degrees of fight duration.
Key signals include injury reports, training updates, and pre-fight media events for either fighter, all of which can shift expectations about endurance and striking range. Major betting surges or analyst predictions may also sway odds, especially as the event nears Aug 23, 2026. Any last-minute changes in fight strategy or condition could dramatically alter this market’s price dynamics.