TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 22, 6:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a specific UFC fight between Marcio Barbosa and Ryan Kuse, focusing on how the winner achieves victory. The market considers various ways the fight can conclude, including decisive strikes, submission, or a judge's decision, as well as possibilities of a draw or no contest.
The event resolves based on the method of victory or the fight’s final outcome in the scheduled UFC bout between Marcio Barbosa and Ryan Kuse on August 22, 2026. If either fighter wins—whether by knockout/tKO/disqualification, submission, or decision—the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. Additionally, if the bout ends in a draw or no contest, that specific market also resolves to Yes. The rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The method of victory is determined by the official result of the fight, which is then matched to the market's listed outcomes.
Key signals that could shift odds in this market include pre-fight media appearances, training updates, betting trends, and any last-minute changes such as injury reports or rule adjustments. Significant momentum swings or commentary from analysts may also cause traders to re-evaluate the likelihood of each method of victory, especially as the event draws closer.