TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 12, 5:05 PM EST
Kalshi
Maranhao AC MA and Ypiranga face each other in a Brasileiro Serie C professional soccer match scheduled for July 12, 2026. The result is determined by the score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with no extra time or penalty decisions affecting the outcome.
Resolution is based on the final result of the Maranhao AC MA vs Ypiranga Brasileiro Serie C match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Each possible outcome—Maranhao AC MA victory, Ypiranga victory, or a tie—resolves its corresponding market to Yes based on the match result. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with standard rules.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and audiences. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets reflect what traders actually believe will happen based on real money at stake. This market aggregates the collective judgment of many independent traders rather than a single operator's view. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd sees value or where sharp money is flowing, though both incorporate similar public information like team form and injury reports.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing each possible outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the last executed trade, and the spread between buy and sell orders shows the current liquidity gap. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their orders, moving the price up or down. This continuous repricing ensures the market stays responsive to breaking news or changing expectations about the match.
This market resolves around Jul 12, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome will reflect the final score and official match status as reported by recognized sports authorities. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as new developments unfold. Early resolution may occur if the match is postponed or cancelled under circumstances that trigger predefined resolution rules.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup changes, or managerial decisions announced before kickoff. Recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage all influence trader positioning. Weather conditions, travel disruptions, or last-minute fixture changes can also shift sentiment. As match day approaches, late-breaking developments—such as unexpected absences or tactical shifts—often trigger sharp repricing. Live action during the game itself will drive the most dramatic moves as traders react to goals, red cards, and momentum swings in real time.