TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Mantova 1911 vs. SS Juve Stabia
Volume:
$61,365
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Serie B soccer match between Mantova 1911 and SS Juve Stabia scheduled for March 8, 2026. Markets are offered on Kalshi and Polymarket, with overlapping coverage of match outcomes (Mantova win, draw, Stabia win) evaluated on 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling diverges between platforms. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause, while Polymarket specifies different resolution outcomes for cancellation depending on market type (draw resolves Yes; win markets resolve No).Hero Tip:
The draw market on Polymarket has inverted cancellation logic compared to win markets. If you believe cancellation risk is material, the draw market offers asymmetric protection. For Kalshi, assume one outcome must resolve; clarify cancellation policy with platform before trading.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Three separate binary markets covering Mantova win, draw, and Stabia win. Each resolves Yes if the respective outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Implicit logic: exactly one outcome occurs and resolves to Yes.
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with explicit postponement and cancellation rules. Mantova win and Stabia win resolve No if canceled with no make-up game. Draw market resolves Yes if canceled with no make-up game. Postponement keeps markets open until completion. Primary source is official Serie B statistics within 2 hours; consensus reporting used as fallback.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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