This event group covers a professional Serie B soccer match between Mantova 1911 and Carrarese Calcio scheduled for March 1, 2026. Three binary prediction markets track the three possible outcomes: Mantova win, Carrarese win, or draw. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms consistently resolve on the official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with aligned treatment of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Lega Serie B official website (legaserieb.it) and standard professional soccer match records
Core resolution logic:
Resolution window is 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded
Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Mantova 1911 win, Carrarese Calcio win, or draw
If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed
If match is canceled with no makeup game scheduled, Polymarket draw market resolves Yes and win markets resolve No; Kalshi structure ensures exactly one outcome resolves Yes
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed. Resolution occurs based on the final result of the completed match.
Match Cancellation Without Makeup: On Polymarket: draw market resolves Yes, Mantova win resolves No, Carrarese win resolves No. On Kalshi: the structure implies one outcome must resolve Yes; treat as a technical edge case requiring platform clarification, but logically the draw outcome would be the default.
Extra Time or Penalties: Not included in resolution scope. Only the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time counts.
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the match concludes on March 1, 2026, or on the rescheduled date if postponed. Markets remain open if postponed until the match is played.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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