TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 15, 10:15 PM EST
Kalshi
The fight between Mansur Abdul-Malik and Dustin Stoltzfus will feature multiple markets tracking which fighter wins in a specific round via knockout, technical knockout, submission, or disqualification. Each market corresponds to a different round and fighter, with specific conditions for resolution.
This event involves several markets determining whether Mansur Abdul-Malik or Dustin Stoltzfus wins the fight in Rounds 1, 2, or 3 through knockout (KO), technical knockout (TKO), submission, or disqualification (DQ). A win by decision, technical decision, draw, or no contest does not satisfy any of these markets. Each market is resolved to 'Yes' only if the specified fighter achieves a qualifying victory in the designated round. The fight is scheduled for August 15, 2026, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or ownership of related trademarks.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the odds for each possible round outcome based on their expectations of fight duration and dynamics. The current top outcome reflects the highest chance percentage among available rounds, with volume of $167,258 showing overall trader interest. Price movements react to new analysis, injury updates, or shifting perceptions of fighter advantages.
This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact round of victory will be determined by the official fight result, which traders have been speculating on throughout the buildup.