TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 15, 10:14 PM EST
Kalshi
Two markets will determine if the fight concludes before the start of Round 2 or Round 3. These markets resolve based on whether the contest ends early due to a knockout, technical knockout, submission, disqualification, or other methods before the specified round begins.
If the Mansur Abdul-Malik vs. Dustin Stoltzfus 330 fight originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026 ends before round 2, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Mansur Abdul-Malik vs. Dustin Stoltzfus 330 fight originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026 ends before round 3, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds on this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the unique structure of the round-based outcome. Traders on Kalshi may price in nuanced factors like fighter endurance or strategy shifts that sportsbooks might not fully capture. Comparing the two can reveal divergent expectations about how quickly the bout might conclude.
This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official number of the round in which the fight ends will settle all positions, aligning with how the market is structured to reflect that specific result.