TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a specific soccer match between Mansfield and Leyton Orient. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed various thresholds, reflecting different levels of scoring intensity in the game.
The event evaluates multiple markets based on the total goals scored in the Mansfield vs Leyton Orient professional EFL League One soccer match scheduled for September 26, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals: over 0.5, over 1.5, over 2.5, over 3.5, over 4.5, and over 5.5 goals. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the cumulative goals scored by both teams after 90 minutes plus stoppage time—excluding extra time or penalty kicks—must exceed the specified threshold. All markets share the same underlying match and timing conditions, ensuring consistency across thresholds. The resolution solely depends on the final goal count within regular time, with no influence from post-match events or tournament-specific phases. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as team news or weather forecasts – the prices in this market tend to adjust rapidly, potentially offering a more accurate reflection of the true probability of different outcomes than traditional betting markets. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes provide valuable insights, especially early in the market cycle.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract indicates the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, influenced by news, analysis, and overall market sentiment. Traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Mansfield vs Leyton Orient match will be the determining factor. This includes goals scored during regular play and any added time, but excludes penalty shootouts. The final score will be sourced from official match reports and widely available sports news outlets to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution process. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome matches the final result.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Mansfield or Leyton Orient would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the playing style or scoring opportunities, could also move the market. Additionally, team form leading up to the match, tactical changes announced by the managers, and even public sentiment expressed through social media or sports news could all influence trading activity and shift the probabilities reflected in this market.