TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Manisa Futbol Kulubu vs. Bursaspor
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Manisa Futbol Kulubu vs. Bursaspor?

Volume:
$36,801

Bursa

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 7, 2026

Closed: Sep 7, 3:03 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Bursa

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,588
N/A
N/A
$11,227
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Bursaspor

View
100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,676
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,590
N/A
N/A
$3,976
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Manisa Futbol Kulubu vs. Bursaspor)

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,935
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Manisa

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,921
N/A
N/A
$4,189
Settled
No
polymarket

Manisa Futbol Kulubu

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$91
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a TFF 1. Lig soccer match between Manisa Futbol Kulubu and Bursaspor, scheduled for September 7, 2026. Markets exist for Manisa winning, Bursaspor winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs significantly between platforms. Kalshi resolves all outcomes to 'Yes' upon cancellation, while Polymarket resolves win/draw markets to 'No'.Hero tip: Consider the cancellation risk when trading. Polymarket markets will likely be more sensitive to cancellation news.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve based on win/loss/draw within 90 minutes + stoppage time. If the game is canceled, markets for win/draw resolve to 'No'.
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve based on win/loss/draw within 90 minutes + stoppage time. If the game is canceled, markets resolve to 'Yes' for all outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Turkey 1. Lig game, scheduled for Monday, September 7, 2026 between Manisa Futbol Kulubu and Bursaspor.

Kalshi

The event covers a professional TFF 1. Lig soccer match between Manisa and Bursa scheduled for September 7, 2026. The market resolves based on the result after the full 90 minutes of regulation play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Manisa, a win for Bursa, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price following the platform's guidelines. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow traders to express their beliefs directly. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information and adjust probabilities based on collective insight, offering a potentially more dynamic and accurate forecast.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can differ due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base with varying expertise and information, leading to different interpretations of the likely outcome of the Manisa vs. Bursaspor match. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the platforms may have different fee structures or liquidity provisions, influencing trading behavior and ultimately, the displayed probabilities. These factors contribute to the observed differences in pricing for this market.