TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 11:57 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Manchester United WFC and West Ham United FC, scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Manchester United WFC" if Manchester United WFC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "West Ham United FC" if West Ham United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Manchester United WFC and West Ham United FC, scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Manchester United WFC" if Manchester United WFC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "West Ham United FC" if West Ham United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, incorporating a margin for profit, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the probability of each team scoring first. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by betting on both a prediction market and a sportsbook. However, it's important to remember that both types of odds represent probabilities based on different methodologies and information sources.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether Manchester United or West Ham will score first. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if more traders believe West Ham will score first, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team that scores the first goal in the Manchester United vs. West Ham match will determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on the official match records and verified against credible public sources. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in the market's settlement data, confirming which team was first to score and the distribution of payouts.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Manchester United or West Ham could significantly shift the odds. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions leading up to the match could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or pre-match interviews with managers might also cause price fluctuations. Overall, any information that alters perceptions of each team’s likelihood of scoring first has the potential to move this market.