TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether more than 2.5 total goals will be scored in the Manchester United versus Sabah Masazir professional Champions League soccer game. Currently, the probability of over 2.5 goals being scored on Kalshi is 99.0%. The market will resolve based on whether over 2.5 goals are scored after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the official result of the match. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves based on the outcome of the match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026, with final resolution expected by September 11, 2026.
Each market resolves based on whether the combined goals scored by both teams in the Manchester United vs Sabah Masazir professional Champions League soccer game, scheduled for Sep 10, 2026, exceed a specified threshold after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties are not counted. A Yes outcome occurs if the threshold is surpassed; otherwise, the market resolves to No. Kalshi emphasizes it has no official connection with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines to balance action and ensure a profit margin, while this market reflects the aggregate wisdom of crowd predictions. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of how each venue operates. It's common to see prediction markets offer more accurate probabilities, especially closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, whether the total goals scored will be over or under a specified number. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards a fair value representing the collective belief of the market. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for exposure to a particular outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result – the total number of goals scored in the Manchester United vs Sabah Masazir match – will be used to determine whether the 'yes' or 'no' outcome prevails. The resolution will be based on official match data, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the winning contract. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Manchester United or Sabah Masazir would likely cause movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to significantly impact the game, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, updates on team formations or tactical approaches, along with any pre-match analysis from reputable sources, could all contribute to price fluctuations. Unexpected events during the match itself, such as early red cards, will also impact the market.