TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 5:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether Manchester United will win their Champions League soccer game against Sabah Masazir by more than 1.5 goals. Currently, the probability of Manchester United winning by more than 1.5 goals on Kalshi is 98.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Manchester United vs Sabah Masazir professional soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported by Kalshi. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on September 10, 2026.
The event evaluates various goal-differential thresholds for determining resolution across four distinct markets. Each market resolves based on whether Manchester United or Sabah Masazir achieves a specified margin of victory—either more than 2.5 or more than 1.5 goals—in the match scheduled for September 10, 2026. The resolution occurs after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, explicitly excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. All markets operate independently, meaning each has its own criteria for a 'Yes' outcome. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and perceived biases, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights into where the crowd and the experts disagree regarding the Manchester United vs Sabah Masazir match.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Manchester United vs Sabah Masazir match, specifically the spread as determined by official sources. Traders will be able to view the official result and settlement details on Kalshi following the conclusion of the event. This ensures a transparent and verifiable process for determining the outcome of this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Sep 11, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Manchester United or Sabah Masazir would likely impact trading activity. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also influence market sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the match, such as a change in venue or kickoff time, could also cause price fluctuations. Monitoring these factors and their potential impact on the match’s outcome is crucial for traders in this market.