TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 4:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether over 4.5 or over 5.5 goals will be scored in regulation time – 90 minutes plus stoppage time – during the Manchester United versus Brighton EFL Cup soccer game. Currently, the probability of over 4.5 goals being scored on Kalshi is 99.0%, while the probability of over 5.5 goals is 1.0%. The market will resolve based on the official result of the match, as determined by the game’s governing body, per the resolution source. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the market will resolve following the conclusion of the game originally scheduled for September 16, 2026, with final settlement expected by the resolution date of September 17, 2026.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the total goals scored in regulation time (90 minutes plus stoppage time) during the Manchester United vs Brighton EFL Cup soccer match scheduled for September 16, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different goal threshold (over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals). For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the combined goals from both teams must exceed the specified threshold within regulation time; extra time and penalty shootout goals are excluded from consideration. All markets are independent, meaning each threshold is assessed separately, and the resolution of one does not affect the others. The event is unaffiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own analysis and information. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price of that outcome will fall, indicating higher implied probability. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes in the Manchester United vs Brighton match. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people buy contracts predicting a specific number of goals, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to reflect the collective intelligence of traders and their evolving expectations about the match’s outcome. The current market reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total number of goals scored in regulation time during the Manchester United vs Brighton match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official match statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine the final result. The market will settle to 100 for the contract corresponding to the actual total goals scored, and 0 for all other contracts. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on its final price.
Several factors could influence this market before Sep 17, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Manchester United or Brighton would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team formations or tactical approaches announced by the managers could also shift expectations. Even weather conditions on match day, such as heavy rain or strong winds, might impact the perceived likelihood of a high-scoring or low-scoring game. Unexpected news related to team morale or internal conflicts could also play a role in how traders adjust their predictions.