TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

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30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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39%

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Kalshi:

61%

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Manchester United to sign Cole Palmer by September 1, 2026
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Manchester United to sign Cole Palmer by September 1, 2026

Volume:
$799

Manchester United to sign Cole Palmer by September 1, 2026

 - Limitless

Manchester United to sign Cole Palmer by September 1, 2026 - Limitless

1W

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Resolved Sep 2, 2026

Closed: Sep 1, 7:59 PM EST

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Manchester United to sign Cole Palmer by September 1, 2026

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0.1¢
N/A
$799
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "YES" if it is officially confirmed that Manchester United signs Cole Palmer on a permanent transfer on or before September 1, 2026, 23:59 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." This market's resolution sources will be official announcements from Chelsea, Cole Palmer, and/or the acquiring club. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "YES" if it is officially confirmed that Manchester United signs Cole Palmer on a permanent transfer on or before September 1, 2026, 23:59 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." This market's resolution sources will be official announcements from Chelsea, Cole Palmer, and/or the acquiring club. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard on Limitless tracks real-time odds and historical price movement for this event. It displays the current chance percentage that Manchester United will sign Cole Palmer before September 1, 2026, along with cumulative trading volume in USD. You can monitor how the market probability shifts as new transfer rumors, contract negotiations, or official announcements emerge. The interface shows total group volume of $799 to reflect overall trader interest and liquidity in this specific outcome.

Prediction market odds on Limitless reflect crowd-sourced trader sentiment and real money at stake, often diverging from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks typically focus on near-term betting windows and apply fixed margins, whereas prediction markets operate continuously until resolution and adjust dynamically based on trader conviction. For a long-dated transfer event like Cole Palmer to Manchester United, prediction markets may capture nuanced transfer-window timing and squad-building strategy that sportsbooks price less granularly. Direct comparison requires checking both venues independently.

The market resolves on Sep 1, 2026. Resolution is determined by whether Cole Palmer has signed a professional contract with Manchester United on or before September 1, 2026. The outcome is binary: if Palmer officially joins Manchester United by that deadline, the "yes" outcome resolves to 100 and "no" to 0. If he does not sign by the deadline, the reverse occurs. Resolution relies on verified official announcements from Manchester United, the player, or credible sports news sources confirming the transfer completion.

Key catalysts include official transfer bids or negotiations between Manchester United and Cole Palmer's current club, managerial changes at either club, injuries to Manchester United's attacking midfielders, Palmer's contract renewal or release clause activation, and competing interest from other Premier League or European clubs. Statements from Manchester United's sporting director, Palmer's agent, or his current club regarding his future will move the market sharply. Preseason performance, loan moves, or youth team promotions could also signal intent. Media reports of advanced talks or medical examinations typically trigger significant price swings.