TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 25, 9:13 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player leaves Manchester United on or before September 1, 2026, 23:59 UTC. Otherwise, each option will resolve to "NO." If the listed player is transferred to another club, is loaned to another club, terminates his contract with Manchester United, or retires, this market will resolve to “YES.” Transfers between Manchester United's senior and reserve or youth teams will not count. Only official announcements made between May 20, 2026, 12:00 UTC and September 1, 2026, 23:59 UTC, will qualify. Announcements of future transfers or departures made after September 1, 2026, 23:59 UTC, will not count. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Manchester United, the listed player, or the signing club. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player leaves Manchester United on or before September 1, 2026, 23:59 UTC. Otherwise, each option will resolve to "NO." If the listed player is transferred to another club, is loaned to another club, terminates his contract with Manchester United, or retires, this market will resolve to “YES.” Transfers between Manchester United's senior and reserve or youth teams will not count. Only official announcements made between May 20, 2026, 12:00 UTC and September 1, 2026, 23:59 UTC, will qualify. Announcements of future transfers or departures made after September 1, 2026, 23:59 UTC, will not count. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Manchester United, the listed player, or the signing club. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on Limitless differ from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time crowd consensus rather than fixed bookmaker lines. Sportsbooks typically offer limited transfer markets with wider margins, while prediction markets allow continuous trading and price discovery. The Manchester United departure market on Limitless aggregates thousands of individual trader beliefs into dynamic odds that adjust instantly. Prediction markets often provide sharper, more responsive pricing than sportsbooks for niche events like specific player transfers, especially as the September 1, 2026 deadline approaches.
The Manchester United players to leave by September market resolves on Sep 1, 2026, at which point all trading closes. Resolution is determined by whether the specified player or players have officially left Manchester United by that date. Departures include transfers to other clubs, loan moves with permanent intent, mutual contract terminations, and retirements. The market tracks each outcome independently, so Marcus Rashford's departure status is evaluated separately from other potential leavers. Official club announcements and verified transfer confirmations serve as the basis for final outcome determination.
Key catalysts for this market include transfer rumors and official bids from rival clubs, contract renewal negotiations and wage discussions, managerial changes or tactical shifts affecting player roles, and injury updates that influence departure likelihood. Major events such as Champions League qualification or relegation battles can shift player motivation. Media reports from credible transfer journalists often trigger sharp price moves. Statements from players, agents, or club officials about future plans carry significant weight. As the September 1, 2026 deadline approaches, confirmed transfers or official club statements will drive final price adjustments. Summer transfer window activity and pre-season performance are particularly influential.