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Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC - First Team to Score
polymarket
predict

Which team will score first?

Volume:
$13,448

Manchester City FC

 - Polymarket

Manchester City FC - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 13, 2026

Closed: Sep 13, 1:42 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Manchester City FC

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,254
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

MAC

View
55%
Yes 55¢No 45¢
—
$500
$360
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

MUN

View
45%
Yes 45¢No 55¢
—
$5
$242
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Manchester United FC

View
0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$861
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Neither

View
5%
1%
Yes 5¢No 95¢
—
$5
$714
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,016
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a Manchester United vs. Manchester City football (soccer) match. Resolution depends on the first goal scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with a 'Neither' option if no goal is scored in that timeframe.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict utilize identical resolution criteria and fallback procedures, ensuring consistent market outcomes.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.

Core resolution logic:

  • The first team to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time determines the winner.
  • If neither team scores within the specified timeframe, the market resolves to 'Neither'.
  • Postponement extends the market until the game is completed.
  • Cancellation of the game without a reschedule results in a 'Neither' resolution.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Delay: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the match's conclusion, Flashscore data will be used, followed by Sofascore, and finally a consensus of credible reporting.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made *after* market resolution will not affect the outcome.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as the official statistics confirm the first goal scorer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, or confirm that no goal was scored within that timeframe.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Manchester United FC and Manchester City FC, scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Manchester United FC" if Manchester United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Manchester City FC" if Manchester City FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Predict

In the upcoming match between Manchester United FC and Manchester City FC, scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Manchester United FC" if Manchester United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Manchester City FC" if Manchester City FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, such as those found for this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of many independent traders. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert opinion. The implied probabilities from each source can be valuable when forming your own assessment of the likely outcome of the Manchester Derby.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Predict on this market can arise from several factors. Different user bases on each platform may have varying levels of expertise or biases regarding football outcomes. Trading volume also plays a role; lower volume on one platform can lead to greater price volatility and divergence. Furthermore, the specific incentives and fee structures of Polymarket and Predict can influence trading behavior and, consequently, the prices observed for the Manchester Derby first-to-score market. These factors contribute to the dynamic pricing seen across prediction markets.