TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 1:40 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Manchester United FC and Manchester City FC, scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Manchester United FC" if Manchester United FC are the first to score in the second half (second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "Manchester City FC" if Manchester City FC are the first to score in the second half (second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the second half (second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Manchester United FC and Manchester City FC, scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Manchester United FC" if Manchester United FC are the first to score in the second half (second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "Manchester City FC" if Manchester City FC are the first to score in the second half (second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the second half (second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders can buy 'yes' shares if they believe Manchester United or Manchester City will score first in the second half, or 'no' shares if they believe neither team will. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively representing the market's collective probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement reflects how traders update their beliefs as new information emerges, such as team news or injury reports, leading up to the event.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the outcome will be determined by which team – Manchester United or Manchester City – scores the first goal in the second half of the match. In the event of no goals being scored in the second half, the market will resolve in favor of the 'no' outcome. The official match records will be used to verify the result.
Several factors could significantly impact the pricing of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Manchester United or Manchester City would likely cause a shift in the odds. Tactical announcements from either manager, such as confirmed starting lineups or changes in formation, could also influence trader sentiment. Even in-game events during the first half, like a red card or an early goal, could lead to substantial price movements as traders react to the evolving dynamics of the Manchester Derby.