TOTAL VOLUME:

$53.9b

24H VOL:

$231,847,320

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,314,157,835

499,417

Markets across

14,310

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,754

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

BETA
Dashboards
kalshi
polymarket
Trending

Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC

Volume:
$5,282,598
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

This event group covers the Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC match scheduled for March 1, 2026, in the English Premier League. Markets span multiple resolution scopes: Polymarket offers three binary outcomes (Manchester United win, draw, Crystal Palace win), while Kalshi offers four goal-differential markets (>1.5 and >2.5 goal margins for each team). The core match result is consistent across platforms, but the resolution granularity and market structures differ significantly.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Market scope divergence: Polymarket offers ternary outcome markets (Win/Draw/Loss), while Kalshi offers goal-differential threshold markets (>1.5 and >2.5 margins). Both reference the same match and time window but measure fundamentally different settlement values.

Hero Tip:

These markets are complementary, not contradictory. Polymarket is ideal for directional match outcome bets; Kalshi is ideal for margin-based bets. Both resolve on 90 minutes plus stoppage time with no extra time or penalties. Confirm your market type before trading to avoid confusion.

Critical Divergence Points:

  • Polymarket: Three mutually exclusive binary markets on match outcome (Manchester United win, draw, Crystal Palace win). All reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellation with no makeup resolves draw to Yes, win markets to No. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (for win markets) and 'this market will resolve Yes' (for draw market).
  • Kalshi: Four separate Yes/No markets on goal-differential thresholds: Manchester United >1.5, Manchester United >2.5, Crystal Palace >1.5, Crystal Palace >2.5. Multiple markets can resolve Yes simultaneously. All reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Key Quote: 'If Manchester United wins by more than 1.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.