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Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC?

Volume:
$1,954,670

Reg Time: Brighton

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 16, 2026

Closed: Sep 16, 5:03 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Reg Time: Brighton

View
100%
75%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$389,307
N/A
N/A
$100,845
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Brighton & Hove Albion FC

View
100%
76%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$310,808
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Manchester United FC

View
0%
53%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$488,499
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Reg Time: Manchester United

View
0%
53%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$431,849
N/A
N/A
$162,133
Settled
No
kalshi

Reg Time: Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$249,060
N/A
N/A
$82,596
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC)

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$85,146
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether Brighton & Hove Albion FC will win their soccer match against Manchester United FC on September 16, 2026. Currently, the aggregated probability of Brighton winning, across Kalshi and Polymarket, is 100.0%. This consensus view is sourced from game results reported by https://www.efl.com/. Keep an eye on the official match schedule and any announcements regarding potential cancellations, as the resolution hinges on a completed game by September 16, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket defines a 'No' resolution for win/loss markets and 'Yes' for the draw market if the game is canceled, while Kalshi lacks explicit cancellation guidance.Hero tip: Be aware that Kalshi markets may remain open or resolve ambiguously if the game is canceled, potentially creating a disadvantage compared to Polymarket.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve based on the outcome within 90 minutes + stoppage time. If canceled with no makeup game, win/loss markets resolve to 'No', and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'.
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve based on the outcome within 90 minutes + stoppage time. No explicit guidance is provided for game cancellations, implying resolution requires a completed match.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming EFL Cup (Carabao Cup) game, scheduled for Wednesday, September 16, 2026 between Manchester United FC and Brighton & Hove Albion FC.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Manchester United vs Brighton professional EFL Cup soccer game originally scheduled for September 16, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Manchester United wins within regulation time, the 'Manchester United' market resolves to Yes. If Brighton wins within regulation time, the 'Brighton' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The resolution excludes outcomes determined during extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing strictly on the result at the end of regulation time.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of many individual bettors. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on team statistics and player performance, this market incorporates a broader range of information and sentiment, potentially identifying undervalued or overvalued outcomes. It's important to compare both sources when making informed decisions.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can differ due to variations in user base, trading volume, and market-specific rules. Polymarket may attract a different type of trader than Kalshi, leading to differing opinions reflected in the prices. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume on each platform can influence price discovery; lower volume may result in greater price volatility. Differences in the way each platform handles fees and margin requirements can also contribute to price discrepancies. These factors combine to create distinct market dynamics on each venue, even for the same underlying event.