TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$277,664,645
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,114,870
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,379,707,856
581,715
Markets across
14,439
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,118
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming Premier League game between Manchester United FC and Brentford FC, scheduled for April 27, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket resolve based on the halftime result (45 minutes plus stoppage time) of the Manchester United vs Brentford EPL match scheduled for April 27, 2026, with identical outcome definitions: Manchester United win, Brentford win, or draw.
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body (Premier League/official match records), with fallback to consensus of credible reporting if official statistics are not published within 24 hours after match conclusion.Core resolution logic:
- Market resolves based on the halftime result after 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes are possible: Manchester United leading, Brentford leading, or draw.
- Polymarket's three markets (Draw at halftime, Brentford leading, Manchester United leading) each resolve YES or NO based on the actual halftime outcome.
- Kalshi's single market resolves YES for any of the three outcomes (all three conditions resolve to Yes, covering all possible halftime results).
- Exactly one of the three halftime outcomes will occur.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, both platforms keep markets open until the match is completed. Resolution occurs based on the halftime result of the rescheduled match.
- Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Polymarket markets resolve NO. Kalshi's market structure (resolving YES for all outcomes) would require clarification, but cancellation would prevent any resolution.
- Stoppage Time Determination: Resolution is based on the score at the end of 45 minutes plus stoppage time as determined by the referee and official match records, not at exactly 45 minutes.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official publication of the halftime result by the Premier League or governing body within 24 hours after match conclusion, or by consensus of credible reporting if official statistics are delayed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.