Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket resolve based on the official match outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 27, 2026, with identical scope and timing criteria across all three possible outcomes (Manchester United win, Brentford win, or draw).
Primary resolution logic:
Official Premier League statistics and governing body records, with fallback to credible reporting consensus if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Core resolution logic:
Market resolves based on the result of the Manchester United vs. Brentford professional EPL match scheduled for April 27, 2026.
Resolution scope is limited to the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded.
Three mutually exclusive outcomes are possible: Manchester United wins (Polymarket YES, Kalshi YES), Brentford wins (Polymarket YES, Kalshi YES), or draw (Polymarket YES, Kalshi YES).
Exactly one outcome will occur and resolve to YES on the applicable market; the other two outcomes resolve to NO.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, both platforms keep markets open until the game is completed and resolved based on the rescheduled date result.
Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Polymarket resolves the draw market to YES and the win markets to NO; Kalshi rules do not explicitly address this scenario but would follow standard cancellation protocols.
Resolution Timing: Resolution uses official Premier League statistics as the primary source; if not published within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used instead.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official publication of the final match result by the Premier League or governing body, or within 2 hours after match conclusion via credible reporting consensus if official statistics are delayed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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