TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 4:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether over 3.5 goals will be scored in regulation time – 90 minutes plus stoppage time – in the Manchester City versus Norwich EFL Cup soccer game. Currently, the probability of over 3.5 goals being scored on Kalshi is 99.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of this match, as determined by whether over 3.5 goals are scored, according to the resolution source. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the market will resolve following the conclusion of the game originally scheduled for September 17, 2026, with a resolution date estimate of September 18, 2026.
This event resolves based on the total number of goals scored by both teams during the regulation time of the Manchester City vs Norwich EFL Cup match scheduled for September 17, 2026. The markets cover thresholds ranging from over 0.5 goals to over 5.5 goals. All resolutions occur strictly within the 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time added by the referee, with no consideration given to goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts. Each market has a specific threshold, and if the actual total goals exceed that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No.' The outcome is determined solely by the official match result as recorded by the governing league.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when public opinion strongly deviates from the sportsbook's initial assessment. Comparing the two can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember they represent different approaches to forecasting the event’s outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in regulation time (90 minutes plus any added stoppage time) during the Manchester City vs Norwich match will determine the result. No extra time or penalty shootouts are considered. The final score will be sourced from official match data and used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders should monitor official sources as the match progresses to understand how the outcome is unfolding.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before the match concludes. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Manchester City or Norwich would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to heavily influence the style of play, could also move the market. Furthermore, any significant pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts predicting a high or low-scoring game could sway trader sentiment. Unexpected starting lineups announced shortly before kickoff are another potential catalyst for shifts in this market.