TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 11:18 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Manchester City FC and Sunderland AFC, scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Manchester City FC" if Manchester City FC are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "Sunderland AFC" if Sunderland AFC are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Manchester City FC and Sunderland AFC, scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Manchester City FC" if Manchester City FC are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "Sunderland AFC" if Sunderland AFC are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents a collective forecast from informed traders. If a significant disparity exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual outcome of the match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each possible outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the probability rises accordingly. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is driven entirely by supply and demand, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likelihood of either team scoring first in the first half. The current volume is $2.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the outcome will be determined by which team, if any, scores the first goal in the first half of the Manchester City vs. Sunderland match. The resolution will be based on official match data, ensuring an objective and verifiable result. The platform will rely on publicly available sources to confirm which team scored first, and the resulting share values will be adjusted accordingly.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Manchester City or Sunderland would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Tactical announcements from either manager, such as a change in formation or starting lineup, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from reputable football pundits, could also contribute to price movements. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of each team's scoring potential could move this market.