TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC
Volume:
$2,419,613
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
Manchester City FC and Southampton FC are scheduled to play a professional FA Cup match on April 25, 2026. This event group contains markets resolving based on the final outcome after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties). The match outcome will be determined by official governing body statistics or credible reporting consensus if official data is unavailable within 2 hours of conclusion.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi resolve based on the official match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 25, 2026, with identical treatment of postponements and cancellations across all three possible outcomes (Manchester City win, Southampton win, or draw).
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from the governing body (The FA) or event organizers, with fallback to consensus of credible reporting if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.Core resolution logic:
- Manchester City win market resolves YES if Manchester City wins in 90 minutes plus stoppage time; NO otherwise.
- Southampton win market resolves YES if Southampton wins in 90 minutes plus stoppage time; NO otherwise.
- Draw market resolves YES if the match ends in a draw in 90 minutes plus stoppage time; NO otherwise.
- Exactly ONE of the three markets will resolve YES (mutually exclusive outcomes).
- Extra time and penalties are excluded from resolution scope.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the game is completed and a result is determined.
- Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the Manchester City and Southampton win markets resolve NO, while the draw market resolves YES (treating cancellation as a non-result equivalent to a draw for resolution purposes).
- Resolution Timing: Resolution uses official FA statistics as the primary source; if unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus is used instead.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official announcement of the final match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with a 2-hour window for official statistics publication before fallback to credible reporting consensus.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.