TOTAL VOLUME:

$142b

24H VOL:

$104,905,421

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,626,885,236

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,583,166,266

457,546

Markets across

34,969

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,927

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

BETA
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Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC
⌛Ending SoonTrending
polymarket
predict
kalshi

What is the result of Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC?

Total volume:
$2,703,667
Volume 24h:
$2,508,520
2,839%
Liquidity:
$2,911,379
229%
Open interest:
$1,172,444
720%

Manchester City

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Predict

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 14, 2026

Time left: 06h:00m:31s

Manchester City wins

48%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 48¢ buys you 208 shares | Odds: 48% Total Payout: $208 | Net Profit: $108 Multiplier: 2.08x | ROI: 108% | APY: N/A
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Manchester City

Trending
Trade
48%
3%
Yes 48¢No 53¢
1¢
N/A
$620,859
923%
38,643%
$583,772
6h
active
predict

MNC

48%
Yes 48¢No 53¢
1¢
$397,184
$54,405
553%
N/A
N/A
5h
active
polymarket

Manchester City FC

48%
Yes 48¢No 53¢
1¢
$761,793
$1,134,276
5,170%
41,445%
N/A
3h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
47.7%
Yes 48¢No 53¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

PSG

30%
3%
Yes 30¢No 71¢
1¢
N/A
$554,090
561%
5,251%
$526,916
6h
active
predict

PSG

30%
Yes 30¢No 71¢
1¢
$244,177
$30,783
653%
N/A
N/A
5h
active
polymarket

Paris Saint-Germain FC

30%
3%
Yes 30¢No 71¢
1¢
$728,990
$225,924
1,485%
21,693%
N/A
3h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
29.9%
Yes 30¢No 71¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Tie

24%
Yes 24¢No 77¢
1¢
N/A
$64,718
784%
6,254%
$61,756
6h
active
predict

Draw

24%
Yes 24¢No 77¢
1¢
$269,005
$6,048
3,088%
N/A
N/A
5h
active
polymarket

Draw (Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC)

24%
Yes 24¢No 77¢
1¢
$510,230
$12,565
1,007%
159,080%
N/A
3h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
23.9%
Yes 24¢No 77¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks whether Manchester City will win their Champions League soccer game against Paris Saint-Germain FC. Currently, the consensus probability of Manchester City winning is 48.0%, with PSG winning at 30.0%. This aggregated view combines data from Polymarket, Predict, and Kalshi, and will resolve based on the outcome of the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as defined by the resolution source. Keep an eye on October 14, 2026, as that is the scheduled date for the Manchester City vs. PSG match and the end of the betting period.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Differing resolution conditions if the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game.Hero tip: Be aware of the differing cancellation policies. Polymarket markets for a win will resolve to 'No' if canceled, while Kalshi's tie market will resolve to 'Yes' if canceled. This creates a potential arbitrage opportunity or risk depending on your positions.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". (applies to all win/draw markets)
  • Kalshi: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the market resolves to Yes for the Tie market, and No for the individual win markets.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for Wednesday, October 14, 2026 between Manchester City FC and Paris Saint-Germain FC.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Manchester City vs PSG professional Champions League soccer match originally scheduled for October 14, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Manchester City wins, the 'Manchester City' market resolves to Yes. If PSG wins, the 'PSG' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for Wednesday, October 14, 2026 between Manchester City FC and Paris Saint-Germain FC.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probabilities of various outcomes for the Manchester City vs. PSG match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $2,513,330, with $2,299,685 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a consensus view of predictions from a diverse set of traders. Polymarket currently favors Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14? at 47.5%, while Kalshi leans toward Manchester City wins at 48.0%. This allows for a comprehensive understanding of market sentiment surrounding the upcoming contest.

Prediction market odds, like those seen on this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to profit from margins, while prediction markets allow traders to directly express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information, as traders react quickly to developments affecting the Manchester City vs. PSG match. Examining both sources provides a more well-rounded view.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may differ due to variations in trader participation, market design, and liquidity. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and risk tolerance. Furthermore, the specific rules and fees on each platform can influence trading behavior. For example, differing margin requirements or settlement mechanisms could lead to price discrepancies. The volume of trading also plays a role; a market with higher volume generally exhibits greater price stability and accuracy, and this market currently has volume of $2,513,330.

This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Manchester City vs. PSG match, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on the final score of the match, accounting for any extra time or penalty shootouts if applicable. Traders will be able to see the verified result on both Polymarket and Kalshi following the conclusion of the game.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before Oct 14, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Manchester City or PSG would likely cause price shifts. Unexpected changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also influence trader sentiment. Major news regarding team morale or off-field issues could also play a role. Any significant pre-match announcements, such as confirmed starting lineups, are likely to trigger trading activity and adjust the probabilities reflected in this market.