TOTAL VOLUME:

$142b

24H VOL:

$104,905,421

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,626,885,236

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,583,166,266

457,546

Markets across

34,969

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,927

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF
⌛Ending Soon
polymarket
predict
kalshi

What is the result of AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF?

Total volume:
$2,693,802
Volume 24h:
$2,344,887
2,384%
Liquidity:
$2,611,961
214%
Open interest:
$1,632,889
606%

RMA

all

3 markets

Predict

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 14, 2026

Time left: 05h:00m:31s

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?

51%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
predict

Trade on Predict

At 51¢ buys you 196 shares | Odds: 51% Total Payout: $196 | Net Profit: $96 Multiplier: 1.96x | ROI: 96% | APY: N/A
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

RMA

Trade
51%
Yes 51¢No 50¢
1¢
$411,779
$116,681
885%
N/A
N/A
5h
active
polymarket

Real Madrid CF

Trade
51%
1%
Yes 51¢No 50¢
1¢
$688,800
$649,719
1,332%
4,677%
N/A
3h
active
kalshi

Real Madrid

Trade
50%
Yes 51¢No 50¢
1¢
N/A
$1,509,990
455%
1,241%
$1,404,472
6h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
50.2%
Yes 51¢No 50¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Roma

Trade
26%
Yes 26¢No 75¢
1¢
N/A
$215,472
1,062%
17,243%
$196,623
6h
active
predict

ROM

Trade
26%
Yes 26¢No 75¢
1¢
$269,844
$10,436
2,810%
N/A
N/A
5h
active
polymarket

AS Roma

Trade
26%
Yes 26¢No 75¢
1¢
$509,464
$117,995
3,508%
14,937%
N/A
3h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
25.8%
Yes 26¢No 75¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
predict

Draw

Trade
25%
1%
Yes 25¢No 76¢
1¢
$180,470
$6,449
2,461%
N/A
N/A
5h
active
polymarket

Draw (AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF)

Trade
25%
1%
Yes 25¢No 76¢
1¢
$551,604
$33,642
7,939%
10,824%
N/A
3h
active
kalshi

Tie

Trade
24%
Yes 24¢No 77¢
1¢
N/A
$33,418
532%
1,817%
$31,794
6h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
24.3%
Yes 24.7¢No 76.3¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks whether Real Madrid will win the AS Roma versus Real Madrid CF Champions League soccer game, or if the game will end in a draw or Roma will win. Currently, the consensus probability of Real Madrid winning is 51.0%, while Roma winning is estimated at 26.0%. This aggregated view combines data from Polymarket, Predict, and Kalshi, and will resolve based on the outcome of the game within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as defined by the match officials. Keep an eye on October 14, 2026, as this is the scheduled date for the game and the end of the betting period.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket resolves to 'No' on cancellation, while Kalshi resolves to 'Yes' if the game is rescheduled and a result is achieved.Hero tip: Polymarket markets are more likely to resolve to 'No' if the game is canceled, while Kalshi markets will resolve to 'Yes' in the event of cancellation. Consider this when evaluating relative market probabilities.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
  • Kalshi: If Roma wins the Roma vs Real Madrid professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Real Madrid wins the Roma vs Real Madrid professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Roma vs Real Madrid professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for Wednesday, October 14, 2026 between AS Roma and Real Madrid CF.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Roma vs Real Madrid professional Champions League soccer match originally scheduled for October 14, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Roma wins the match within this timeframe, the 'Roma' market resolves to Yes. If Real Madrid wins under the same conditions, the 'Real Madrid' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The event exclusively considers the result of regular time, with no account for outcomes determined during extra time or penalty shootouts.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for Wednesday, October 14, 2026 between AS Roma and Real Madrid CF.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the AS Roma vs. Real Madrid match. Currently, the combined volume across both platforms is $2,665,055, with $2,273,200 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a consensus view of predictions, aggregating insights from multiple sources. Polymarket currently favors Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? at 50.5%, while Kalshi leans toward Real Madrid wins at 50.0%. The dashboard allows you to compare these probabilities and see how the market is evolving.

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets reflect the collective beliefs of many traders. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, as information is aggregated from a diverse range of sources. However, sportsbooks typically offer tighter spreads, while this market may have a 0.5 point spread implied by the current prices. Both offer valuable insights for informed decision-making.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge for a number of reasons. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structure, which can all influence prices. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Furthermore, differing liquidity levels on each platform can create temporary discrepancies. For example, a large trade on Polymarket might shift the price there without immediately impacting Kalshi. The volume of $2,665,055 across both platforms suggests a healthy level of interest, but imbalances can still occur. These price differences present opportunities for arbitrage traders.

This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the AS Roma vs. Real Madrid match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will aggregate results from official sources to ensure accuracy. Traders should monitor official announcements related to the match to stay informed about potential factors that could influence the final outcome of this market. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and objective.

Several factors could significantly impact the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either AS Roma or Real Madrid would likely cause movement. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also shift probabilities. Major tactical announcements from either manager could influence trader sentiment. Finally, any external factors affecting the match, like weather conditions or referee assignments, could contribute to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade this market.