TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC
Volume:
$12,571,313
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a Premier League match between Manchester City FC and Nottingham Forest FC scheduled for March 4, 2026. Markets track three mutually exclusive outcomes: Manchester City win, Nottingham Forest win, or a draw, all resolved based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms apply identical resolution logic: official Premier League outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations across all three outcome markets.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Premier League statistics (premierleague.com) and event organizers; credible reporting consensus if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion.Core resolution logic:
- Resolution is based solely on the match outcome within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
- Manchester City win market resolves Yes if Manchester City wins; No otherwise.
- Nottingham Forest win market resolves Yes if Nottingham Forest wins; No otherwise.
- Draw market resolves Yes if the match ends in a draw; No otherwise.
- If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
- If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game, Manchester City and Nottingham Forest win markets resolve No, and the draw market resolves Yes.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on its rescheduled date.
- Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, Manchester City and Nottingham Forest win markets resolve to No, while the draw market resolves to Yes.
- Official Statistics Delay: If Premier League official statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution may use consensus from credible reporting sources.
- Scope of Play: Resolution covers only the outcome after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from resolution scope.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes and official Premier League statistics are published, or within 2 hours of match conclusion if credible reporting consensus is required.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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