TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 6:20 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Manchester City FC will win by more than 2.5 goals against Norwich City FC in their upcoming EFL Cup match. Currently, the probability of Manchester City FC achieving this spread is 100.0% on Polymarket. The outcome will be resolved based on data reported by https://www.efl.com/. Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled for September 17th at 2:30 PM ET, as the final score will determine the market’s resolution.
More markets for the EFL Cup (Carabao Cup) game, scheduled for September 17 at 2:30 PM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. However, it’s important to note that sportsbooks and this market have different user bases and information sources, leading to potential differences.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the traders participating in this market. The current volume traded is $1,050,641, indicating the level of interest in this event.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Manchester City vs. Norwich City match, as reported by a reputable sports news source. The platform will then determine the winning outcome based on the final score and declare the corresponding shares as settled. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Manchester City or Norwich City could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected changes in team formations or tactical approaches could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, pre-match analysis from sports analysts and any late-breaking news related to player availability or team morale could all contribute to fluctuations in the market price. Public opinion and betting trends in traditional sportsbooks may also play a role.