TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 6:20 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the outcome of a Manchester City FC versus Norwich City FC soccer match on September 17, 2026, specifically forecasting whether Manchester City FC will win within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Currently, the consensus probability of Manchester City FC winning is 100.0%, aggregated from Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless. The resolution source for this market is https://www.efl.com/. Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled for September 17, 2026, as the result will determine market settlement and the official outcome of the game.
This event is for the upcoming EFL Cup (Carabao Cup) game, scheduled for Thursday, September 17, 2026 between Manchester City FC and Norwich City FC.
The event resolves based on the result of the Manchester City vs Norwich professional EFL Cup soccer game scheduled for September 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Manchester City wins, that market resolves to Yes. If Norwich wins, that market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away from the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for September 17, 2026, 18:30 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds, like those reflected in this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources of participants. Sportsbooks primarily aim to balance risk and profit, setting odds based on statistical models and expert analysis. In contrast, prediction markets incentivize participants to express their genuine beliefs about the outcome, creating a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect. This can lead to more accurate predictions, particularly when a large and diverse group participates. While sportsbooks may incorporate public sentiment, this market directly reflects it, resulting in potentially different probabilities for the Manchester City vs. Norwich City match.