TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC - More Markets
Volume:
$3,949,542
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Premier League match between Manchester City FC and Newcastle United FC scheduled for February 21, 2026. Markets include total goals over/under thresholds (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5), a both-teams-to-score market, and match outcome resolution across two platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi align on the same match date (February 21, 2026), the same time window (90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties), and the same official resolution source (premierleague.com). Edge case handling (postponement, cancellation, incomplete matches) is consistent across platforms.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Premier League final score published on premierleague.comCore resolution logic:
- Total goals markets (O/U 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5) resolve Over if combined goals meet or exceed the stated threshold, Under if below
- Both Teams to Score resolves Yes if each team scores at least one goal, No if either team scores zero
- Match outcome markets (Kalshi) resolve Yes for any outcome: Manchester City win, Newcastle win, or tie
- Resolution window is 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded
- Official source is premierleague.com final score; this is the single authoritative reference
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed and official score is published
- Match Cancellation (No Makeup): Total goals markets (Polymarket) resolve 50-50; match outcome markets (Kalshi) resolve Yes for all outcomes
- Match Started But Not Completed: Resolution uses the official final score published on premierleague.com at the time of abandonment
- Extra Time or Penalties: Explicitly excluded from resolution; only 90 minutes plus stoppage time counts
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes and the official final score is published on premierleague.com, within the 90-minute plus stoppage time windowOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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