TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Over 2.5 goals scored
- Kalshi
Over 2.5 goals scored - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 23, 2026
Closed: Aug 23, 11:02 AM EST
Kalshi
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Manchester City and Bournemouth have 3 or more total goals?
Description
This group of markets covers the exact score outcome of the Premier League match between Manchester City FC and AFC Bournemouth scheduled for August 23, 2026. Markets resolve based on the final score after 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms use the same resolution criteria based on the official final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of cancellations and postponements.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics from the Premier League governing body or event organizersCore resolution logic:
- Resolve based on the official final score after 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time
- Exclude extra time and penalty shoot-outs from score consideration
- If match is canceled with no make-up game, resolve to 0-0
- If match is postponed, markets remain open until completed
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Postponement: Markets remain open until the match is completed and the official result is published
- Cancellation: If the match is canceled with no make-up game, all exact score markets resolve to 0-0
- Score Revision: Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for
Polymarket
In the upcoming Premier League game between Manchester City FC and AFC Bournemouth, scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth match originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Kalshi
The event evaluates multiple outcome thresholds for total goals scored in the Manchester City versus Bournemouth English Premier League match scheduled for August 23, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the combined goals exceed a specified half-goal increment ranging from 0.5 to 5.5, counting only goals scored within the 90 minutes plus stoppage time—excluding extra time or penalty kicks. All markets share a common resolution framework, with identical secondary disclaimers clarifying that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league and that all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners. The structure allows participants to assess varying likelihoods of scoring volume across incremental benchmarks within the same match context.
Predict
In the upcoming Premier League game between Manchester City FC and AFC Bournemouth, scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth match originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of goals scored by Manchester City and Bournemouth is 3 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Premier League match scheduled for August 23, 2026, 13:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "50-50." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Frequently asked questions
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Market design and user bases drive the variance. Polymarket often attracts crypto-native traders who may react swiftly to new data, pushing probabilities to extremes based on real-time sentiment. Kalshi tends to have a more conservative, broader audience that balances probabilities differently. Liquidity differences also play a role — deeper pools on one platform can stabilize prices, while thinner markets elsewhere may see wider swings. These dynamics create distinct pricing landscapes even for the same underlying question.