TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 1, 5:58 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida and Marek Gengel in the Manacor, Spain, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida' if Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida advances against Marek Gengel. This market will resolve to 'Marek Gengel' if Marek Gengel advances against Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida and Marek Gengel in the Manacor, Spain, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida' if Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida advances against Marek Gengel. This market will resolve to 'Marek Gengel' if Marek Gengel advances against Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds capture the aggregated view of participants who may have different information or risk appetites than sportsbook models. While sportsbooks incorporate expert analysis and historical data, this market prices in real-time based on available volume of $13,194 and recent trading activity. The resulting probability can diverge noticeably, especially in less liquid markets. Traders often monitor both to identify potential mispricings or shifts in public perception leading up to Sep 8, 2026.
This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match outcome, which will be compared against the market’s defined options to settle all positions. Timing is tied directly to when official results are announced and become publicly confirmed, ensuring transparency and fairness for all participants.
Key signals include player injuries, changes in team strategy, or weather conditions affecting the match. Performance metrics from recent games, media commentary, and betting volume on Polymarket can also shift probabilities. As Sep 8, 2026 approaches, any last-minute updates — such as lineup announcements or unexpected tournament format changes — may cause rapid movements in this market. Traders should watch official league channels and real-time sports news for catalyst events that reshape expectations.