TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 11:46 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mark Lajal and Felix Balshaw in the Manacor, originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mark Lajal' if Mark Lajal advances against Felix Balshaw. This market will resolve to 'Felix Balshaw' if Felix Balshaw advances against Mark Lajal. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mark Lajal and Felix Balshaw in the Manacor, originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mark Lajal' if Mark Lajal advances against Felix Balshaw. This market will resolve to 'Felix Balshaw' if Felix Balshaw advances against Mark Lajal. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than traditional markets.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the match’s likely result. The current price indicates what the market believes is the probability of a specific player winning the Manacor tennis match.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Manacor tennis match between Mark Lajal and Felix Balshaw, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The player who wins the match will determine the winning outcome for this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how the market will settle.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match analysis from tennis experts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players might also affect perceptions of their form and ability. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself could create momentum and drive price movements as traders react to the changing dynamics of the Manacor tennis match.