TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 10:59 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Potenza and Joel Schwaerzler in the Manacor, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Potenza' if Luca Potenza advances against Joel Schwaerzler. This market will resolve to 'Joel Schwaerzler' if Joel Schwaerzler advances against Luca Potenza. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Potenza and Joel Schwaerzler in the Manacor, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Potenza' if Luca Potenza advances against Joel Schwaerzler. This market will resolve to 'Joel Schwaerzler' if Joel Schwaerzler advances against Luca Potenza. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, aiming to profit regardless of the outcome. This market, driven by the collective intelligence of traders, tends to more accurately reflect the true probabilities as perceived by those willing to put their capital at risk. However, discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in market participants. It's valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded assessment.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Manacor tennis match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the tournament organizers. The market will determine which player won the match, and shares will be settled accordingly. Traders who held shares in the winning player will receive a payout, while those who held shares in the losing player will forfeit their investment. The outcome will be verified against credible public sources.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player fitness, such as an injury to either Luca Potenza or Joel Schwaerzler, would likely have a significant impact. Updates on playing conditions, like weather forecasts affecting the court surface, could also move the market. Furthermore, any shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis regarding the players' form and chances of winning could influence trader behavior and alter the probabilities reflected in the market. Unexpected announcements related to the tournament itself could also be a catalyst.