TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 2:39 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Potenza and David Jorda Sanchis in the Manacor, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Potenza' if Luca Potenza advances against David Jorda Sanchis. This market will resolve to 'David Jorda Sanchis' if David Jorda Sanchis advances against Luca Potenza. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Potenza and David Jorda Sanchis in the Manacor, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Potenza' if Luca Potenza advances against David Jorda Sanchis. This market will resolve to 'David Jorda Sanchis' if David Jorda Sanchis advances against Luca Potenza. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders, aims to reflect the true probabilities of each outcome. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, prediction markets dynamically adjust as new information and opinions emerge. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments, public sentiment, or the influence of large bettors. It’s often observed that prediction markets are more accurate than traditional polls or expert forecasts.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Manacor tennis match between Luca Potenza and David Jorda Sanchis. The platform will verify the winner against reliable sources such as official tournament websites and sports news outlets. The outcome will be determined by which player is officially declared the winner of the match, as recorded by these sources. Any potential disputes will be handled according to Polymarket’s standard procedures.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to the event might also affect traders' perceptions of the players' form. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed bettors could indicate a shift in sentiment. Public opinion, as reflected in social media or sports news, can also play a role, although the market is primarily driven by traders’ individual assessments of the players’ chances.