TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 6:51 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ivan Ivanov and Mark Lajal in the Manacor, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ivan Ivanov' if Ivan Ivanov advances against Mark Lajal. This market will resolve to 'Mark Lajal' if Mark Lajal advances against Ivan Ivanov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ivan Ivanov and Mark Lajal in the Manacor, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ivan Ivanov' if Ivan Ivanov advances against Mark Lajal. This market will resolve to 'Mark Lajal' if Mark Lajal advances against Ivan Ivanov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, it may indicate that the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks do, or that one venue has a more informed participant base. Examining these differences can be a valuable exercise for anyone interested in the Manacor tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to changing circumstances surrounding the Manacor tennis match.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Manacor tennis match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the match, as officially declared by tournament organizers, will determine the settlement of this market. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the official announcement. This ensures a transparent and verifiable resolution process for all participants.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Sep 10, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match analyses from tennis experts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to the event might also affect perceptions of player form and confidence. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could create momentum and drive price movements related to the Manacor tennis match.