TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 5:08 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Inaki Montes and Mathys Erhard in the Manacor, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Inaki Montes' if Inaki Montes advances against Mathys Erhard. This market will resolve to 'Mathys Erhard' if Mathys Erhard advances against Inaki Montes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Inaki Montes and Mathys Erhard in the Manacor, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Inaki Montes' if Inaki Montes advances against Mathys Erhard. This market will resolve to 'Mathys Erhard' if Mathys Erhard advances against Inaki Montes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, however, is driven by the collective wisdom of traders, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market evolves dynamically based on real-time trading activity and new information, potentially revealing discrepancies between public perception and actual likelihood.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Manacor tennis match between Inaki Montes and Mathys Erhard. The platform will verify the winner based on official tournament results, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the market's outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the event progresses, as this will determine the final settlement of this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on player form could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader tennis news, might also impact trading volume and price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term volatility. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Sep 9, 2026.