TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 3:04 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Inaki Montes and Felix Balshaw in the Manacor, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Inaki Montes' if Inaki Montes advances against Felix Balshaw. This market will resolve to 'Felix Balshaw' if Felix Balshaw advances against Inaki Montes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Inaki Montes and Felix Balshaw in the Manacor, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Inaki Montes' if Inaki Montes advances against Felix Balshaw. This market will resolve to 'Felix Balshaw' if Felix Balshaw advances against Inaki Montes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of people believe an outcome is more likely than a sportsbook suggests, the prediction market odds will adjust accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis, offering potential value for informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the collective believes is the true probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the market’s assessment of the likelihood of a particular result in the Montes vs Balshaw match. The platform facilitates this price discovery process, allowing for dynamic adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Inaki Montes vs Felix Balshaw match as reported by official tournament sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official channels for updates as the resolution date approaches, ensuring they are aware of any potential delays or clarifications regarding the event’s final result.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about strategy or team composition could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, broader trends in tennis performance or head-to-head records between the players might prompt reassessments of probabilities. Major upsets in other matches leading up to this one could also create a ripple effect, influencing how traders perceive the likelihood of different outcomes in the Montes vs Balshaw match.