TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 31, 6:20 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabi Adrian Boitan and Lui Maxted in the Manacor, Spain, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 31, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabi Adrian Boitan' if Gabi Adrian Boitan advances against Lui Maxted. This market will resolve to 'Lui Maxted' if Lui Maxted advances against Gabi Adrian Boitan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabi Adrian Boitan and Lui Maxted in the Manacor, Spain, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 31, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabi Adrian Boitan' if Gabi Adrian Boitan advances against Lui Maxted. This market will resolve to 'Lui Maxted' if Lui Maxted advances against Gabi Adrian Boitan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to community-driven pricing and unique betting dynamics. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on analytical models and historical data, prediction markets reflect real-time trader sentiment and can shift more quickly with new information or sentiment swings.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders set the odds through their bets, which determine the current implied probabilities for each outcome. The market price adjusts continuously based on trading volume and the balance of bets placed on each possible result, capturing the collective wisdom of participants as the event date nears.
This market resolves around Sep 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official declaration of the fight's conclusion, which is then matched against the market's defined outcomes.
Several signals could shift this market before Sep 7, 2026. Key factors include injury updates or changes to either fighter’s training regimen, changes in betting patterns as the event draws nearer, and any public statements from coaches or analysts that alter perceptions of each fighter’s chances. Media coverage highlighting strengths or weaknesses may also sway trader sentiment. As the fight approaches, any last-minute adjustments to fight conditions or venue details could produce noticeable price movements.