TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 12:02 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Elmer Moeller and Maks Kasnikowski in the Manacor, originally scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elmer Moeller' if Elmer Moeller advances against Maks Kasnikowski. This market will resolve to 'Maks Kasnikowski' if Maks Kasnikowski advances against Elmer Moeller. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Elmer Moeller and Maks Kasnikowski in the Manacor, originally scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elmer Moeller' if Elmer Moeller advances against Maks Kasnikowski. This market will resolve to 'Maks Kasnikowski' if Maks Kasnikowski advances against Elmer Moeller. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect crowd-sourced beliefs rather than set operator margins. This market may show a different implied probability for each player compared to sportsbooks, especially if recent performance or news shifts trader sentiment. Monitoring both can help spot potential value or divergence in expectations.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders set prices through their bets, which determine the current odds for each outcome. The top outcome’s chance reflects the aggregate of all participant positions, and volume shows how much has traded. Prices adjust continuously as new information or bets come in, capturing the community’s view of likely results.
This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on the official match outcome, and the platform will update the market accordingly when the information is widely reported and beyond reasonable dispute.