TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 1:02 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Rincon and Inaki Montes in the Manacor, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Rincon' if Daniel Rincon advances against Inaki Montes. This market will resolve to 'Inaki Montes' if Inaki Montes advances against Daniel Rincon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Rincon and Inaki Montes in the Manacor, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Rincon' if Daniel Rincon advances against Inaki Montes. This market will resolve to 'Inaki Montes' if Inaki Montes advances against Daniel Rincon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal risk assessments, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially when public perception deviates from expert analysis. Comparing these odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Rincon vs Montes match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the outcome.
Several signals could move this market before Sep 10, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even shifts in public sentiment could influence trading activity. Unexpected upsets in other matches featuring either Rincon or Montes might also cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Furthermore, significant betting activity from informed traders could also drive price movements, as others react to their actions. Monitoring tennis news and social media discussions surrounding the players will be key to understanding potential catalysts.