TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 2:32 PM EST
Kalshi
The match features two national teams competing in an international friendly, where the focus is on whether both teams manage to score during regular time, including any added stoppage time at the end of the match. This encounter allows both sides to showcase their skills and strategies in a competitive yet non-qualifying fixture. The outcome depends solely on the performance of the teams within the standard match duration.
If Malta and Liechtenstein both score a goal in the Malta vs Liechtenstein Intl Friendlies match originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, which can sometimes lead to discrepancies. This market, like others on Kalshi, allows individuals to express their informed opinions, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as new information becomes available. It is common to see prediction markets move more efficiently than traditional betting markets, especially as the event approaches and more information surfaces. Keep an eye on how this market evolves compared to sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of ‘Yes’ (both teams will score) or ‘No’ (one or both teams will fail to score). On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the outcome. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts accordingly. A higher price indicates a greater perceived probability of the event occurring, while a lower price suggests a lower probability. The market determines the price based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Malta and Liechtenstein score at least one goal during the match. The official result of the match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine the winning outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game and official confirmation of the scoreline.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Malta or Liechtenstein would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift market sentiment. Weather conditions on match day, particularly if they are expected to be adverse, might also play a role. Finally, any late-breaking news about team tactics or starting lineups could cause the market to react, as traders adjust their predictions based on the latest information.