TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 12, 8:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This event group covers a professional Allsvenskan soccer match between Malmo FF and IFK Goteborg scheduled for July 12, 2026. Three binary markets on Polymarket ask whether Malmo wins, IFK Goteborg wins, or the match ends in a draw. Kalshi offers three separate Yes/No markets, each resolving Yes if that specific outcome occurs.
This event is for the upcoming Allsvenskan game, scheduled for Sunday, July 12, 2026 between Malmo FF and IFK Goteborg.
Resolution is based on the outcome of the Malmo vs Goteborg professional Allsvenskan soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). A draw after regulation time resolves the Tie market to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant pools and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven purely by trader belief and capital allocation. This market may show materially different probabilities than major sportsbooks, especially if sharp bettors have identified an edge or if public sentiment on one platform hasn't yet caught up with the other. Comparing both sources can reveal mispricings and help you make more informed decisions.
On Polymarket, traders set odds through continuous order-book mechanics, while Kalshi uses a different matching engine and user base. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in liquidity, regional trader concentration, fee structures, and platform-specific incentives can cause the same event to trade at different probabilities across venues. One platform may attract more informed traders on football outcomes, or regulatory constraints might limit participation in certain jurisdictions. These price gaps typically narrow closer to the event, but they create opportunities for traders monitoring both simultaneously.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, or managerial changes that shift perceived strength. Recent form, head-to-head history, and league standings can all trigger repricing as traders reassess probabilities. Weather conditions on match day, venue factors, and late betting action from sharp bettors often drive final moves. Additionally, any official league communications or unexpected developments in either team's preparation could prompt rapid shifts in this market's odds in the hours before kickoff.