TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Mali vs. Senegal
polymarket
kalshi

Mali vs. Senegal

Volume:
$39,631

Senegal

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 31, 2026

Closed: Aug 30, 4:39 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Senegal

View
100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,149
N/A
N/A
$11,229
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Senegal (-14.5)

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
94¢
N/A
$56
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 152.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$61
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Mali vs. Senegal

View
0%
78%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,882
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Mali

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,483
N/A
N/A
$8,106
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers the outcome of the upcoming FIBA WCQ Africa game between Mali and Senegal, scheduled for August 30 at 6:00AM ET. The markets will resolve based on the final result of the game, including any overtime periods, with specific rules for postponed or canceled games.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The markets have fundamentally different resolution criteria: Polymarket distinguishes between Mali and Senegal wins, while Kalshi treats any win (by either team) as a single outcome.Hero tip: Traders should be cautious due to the fundamental divergence in how outcomes are categorized. Polymarket distinguishes between the two teams, while Kalshi treats any win (by either team) as a single outcome. This could lead to significant discrepancies in payouts depending on which team wins.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to "Mali" if Mali wins, "Senegal" if Senegal wins, remains open if postponed, resolves 50-50 if canceled entirely. The result is based on the final score including overtime. Key Quote: "If the Mali win, the market will resolve to "Mali". If the Senegal win, the market will resolve to "Senegal""
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either Mali or Senegal wins. The market does not distinguish between the two teams, only that one of them wins. Key Quote: "If Mali wins the Senegal vs Mali men's professional FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game... then the market resolves to Yes. If Senegal wins the Senegal vs Mali men's professional FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game... then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Africa game, scheduled for August 30 at 6:00AM ET: If the Mali win, the market will resolve to "Mali". If the Senegal win, the market will resolve to "Senegal". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

Markets resolve to Yes if the specified team wins the scheduled men's professional FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.